12/01/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/120118.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

With about 20 trading days left in the year…

I like today. I like quiet. I like it when markets sit. Quiet enables patterns to form. 

I know a lot people who very short yesterday...who got blasted.

I know were that long big the week before…and got blasted.

Very tough environment to gauge. We will eventually come out it.

IN THE MEANTIME, IT IS A MUST THAT YOU BE AS PATIENT AS PATIENT CAN BE.

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/30/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/113018.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

Over the past week, major averages dropped between 7 and 10 percent. Foreign markets much worse.

Coming into this week, we were discussing how awful the market was acting in a time of seasonal strength. As I have told you, the market has been higher from Veterans Day until the end of the year…10 out the 10 years and 22 out of the past 24 years.

WE WALK IN MONDAY TO A 260 POINT GAP IN THE DOW.

WE WALK IN TODAY TO A 360 POINT GAP ON THE DOW.

For the week the Dow is up 813 points, getting back almost what they lost in the prior 7 days. 620 of those points were off a gap.

As I’ve been telling you with these outlier events and these ridiculous moves both up and down, I’m just better off telling you what the leaders are and let all this noise continue. When you have so many things happening to affect markets and so many people interfering, nothing is off the table.

Major averages are back at resistance levels which are under the massive resistence levels of the Feb through August period. That’s where we are after this 2 out 3 day move up.

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/28/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/112818.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

At the open this morning the Dow gapped up 260. Another gap. What was the news?

  • There was talk about how Black Friday was very good and how sales were much better than expected.
  • There was talk about another 800 billion Euro save of Italy, Spain and Greece of all those places. We’ve been hearing that for the better part of 20 months.

For me, there’s only reason why we gapped up big. The market’s trying  to drive everybody up a wall. The markets were beyond oversold by all my measurements. We were due to rally. But we don’t rally any more. WE GAP.  The problem with these gaps…if you can’t get in, you’re paying up.  And the same goes for the downside. You can’t get out.

The other thing I’ve been telling you about…10 out the last 10 years and 22 out of the past 24, the market has been up from Veteran’s till the end of the year. The market topped on Veteran’s Day  and has come straight down. So it’s got some work to day. Today went a long way towards that.

If we cannot rally in a meaningful way, lookout January —

THIS IS DAY ONE OF AN ATTEMPTED REALLY, WITH NO GROWTH LEADERSHIP WHATSOEVER TO BE FOUND.

Just things recovering a bit after a nauseating drop of the the past 7 days. Could we get a new rally out of this? Anything is possible. Especially right now into month-end and year-end.

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/22/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/112318.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

On November 14 and 15, I told you that any day we’re going to break either up or down from a triangle. At the time I really didn’t know whether it was going to be up or down. But I did know:

  • Many areas were still bearish
  • Leadership was nil as I would read off to you the “new high” list.

And then we had a bad down day on November 16th and on November 17. But little did we know that we’d get what we’re seeing now, which is a meltdown from that triangle. And leave no doubt, this is an ugly down move.

In six days, we went from 1260 to 1160.  Last I looked that’s a good 8%.

And today was no help. Seasonal strength or not, if we get a rally into the end of the year, it’s going to be off of lower prices. The Euro is now sinking, the dollar is getting stronger. Which means commodities and assets head south.

My take? This is not a correction off of a move up. THIS IS A BEARISH MARKET. And you’ve got to respect it.

The market has tipped its hands. Leave no doubt about that. Not good news. It is what it is.

Every major average is below the 200-day or below the 50-day moving average.  New lows are picking up.  And new highs? There are none except from Muni bond funds and some non-operating companies

My advice is to go out and read chapters 9 and 10 of O’Neil’s How to Make Money in Stocks, the 4th edition.

And the curtain’s coming down. In bearish markets any losing company will get slaughtered.

This Saturday, watch me on Fox News Channel — Saturday at 10:00 a ET.

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/18/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/111818.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

“…With 4% gaps to the upside, 4% gaps to the downside, reversals, news coming out of Europe, the Super Committee (I have a better name that I can’t mention on radio…the market is eventually going to tips its hands…”

“…We’ve had some stats to go by….10 of the 10 years AND 22 out of the past 24 years…the markets have been up from Veterans Day until the end the year…

“…In the past week or so, I said that 1250 to 1280 is going to be a high…We’re still in that area. We closed today at 1215. So far that “a high” is coming to fruition…”

“…A rough week, distribution in the markets, professionals selling, high volume selling, it all started in that 1250 1280 area. I’m going by the thought process that it’s a high…Even if we rally here, I’m not so sure we get past that…”

I’M THINKING…

  • “…all the past leaders are carving out major of major league tops…”
  • “…More names are really worrying me…..I’m been talking to you about Apple and Amazon, BIDU, Green Mountain Coffee, Netflix…”
  • “…If there was one indicator that is above all…it’s how are big growth leaders doing…?”
  • “…This week the semis put in a decent top…”
  • “…Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 broke below the 50 day moving average…”

Just letting you know…you probably want to be a little wary here.

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

 

11/17/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/111718.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

“…Today may stand out. Many things of note…”

“…Broke out of triangle to the downside…two not so good days in a row…Today, had massive volume selling and THE OVERALL MARKET WAS MUCH WORSE THAN THE DOW…”

“…For the second, it looks like we are breaking down..but I don’t trust what happens from day to day…”

“…I told you around Oct 31st, I thought 1250 to 1280 could be a high…We rallied up on Nov 8 to 1275 at the close. It turns out that 1250 to 1280 is a high right now…”

“…I have been talking about hopeful seasonal strength…Last 10 out 10 years (and last 22 our of 24 years) market has been up from Veterans Day until the end of the year…”

“…I gotta tell you…bad action in a lot of areas…financials anchoring the market — wasting away…Philadelphia Semiconductor Index back down the 50-day MA….390 to 398 may be a high in the semis

“…we’ll see what happens tomorrow…”

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/16/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/111618.mp3

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Gary Kaltbaum owns Kaltbaum Capital Management, LLC (“KCM”), an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The opinions expressed herein are those of Mr. Kaltbaum and may not reflect those of KCM. The information offered in this publication is general information that does not take into account the individual circumstances, financial situation or individual needs of an investor. The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we cannot assure its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Any reference to past performance is not to be implied or construed as a guarantee of future results.

11/14/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/111418.mp3

JUST LETTING YOU KNOW…

“…Reading Peter Schweizer’s new book ‘Throw Them All Out’….Our politicians wrote laws for themselves that they can trade on insider information. THEY PUT US INTO A 15 TRILLION DOLLAR DEFICIT AND THEY’RE LINING THE OWN POCKETS WITH ACTIVITY THAT IS ILLEGAL IN OUR WORLD, BUT NOT IN THEIRS…AND WE SIT THEIR LIKE A BUNCH OF PUPPETS…”

“….Light volume trading today, but there a couple things sticking out that you should know about…”

  1. The financials are still acting putrid…even though they’re off the lows. I don’t think we’re going to have a new bull market unless financials are really leading.
  2. Apple is the most over-owned stock in the market, by the retail market and the big mutual funds. Earnings and revenues are decelerating and they missed estimates for the first time that I can remember. Most importantly, it’s under distribution.

“…Even though we gapped up 250 points on Friday, I think there are still some issues that the market needs to work through in this area in order to go higher…”

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11/09/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/110918.mp3

“…I have been telling you that regardless of whether markets go up or down, it’s going to be a tough environment…”

“…the people who caused the debt problem should be not be the ones to fix it…”

“…around these levels 1250 to 1280, is a high...”

“…if we are to eventually to get above these highs, the market has some work to be done…”

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11/08/2011: GARY ON NATIONALLY SYNDICATED INVESTORS EDGE RADIO BROADCAST

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http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/110818.mp3

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