PRE MARKET AND SOME NOTES

A few thoughts in and out of the market:

Immigration:

Not one person will be deported out of DACA. Not one.

The coins:

Kodak (KODK) announces a coin. Goes from $3.10 to $6.80 yesterday. Trading at $11.50 this morning. But there is no bubble!

Notice many of the other “questionable” blockchain/coin stocks have been slaughtered. Do not be the last one in.

Trump:

That was one hell of a one hour meeting in front of the cameras yesterday. That was Trump telling all the famed psychiatrists like Dr Mika and Dr Joe that everything is fine. As always, you decide.

Tax bill:

More and more bonuses. More and more wage hikes. More and more investments. While, as we wrote yesterday, a company like Tim Hortons takes away because of mandated higher wages by government. Repercussions!

The markets:

Continue to watch COMMODITIES. Energy, oils, steel, copper, aluminum, palladium…all continue to soar. Gold and silver also getting a bid. Energy prices are at 2 year highs. We have been told the ultimate outcome of all the central bank nonsense of printing of trillions, negative rates and 0% rates for 8 years has to be a good bout of inflation. Has not happened yet but always keeping one eye out as we do not believe economics 101 is dead…regardless of central bank interference.

Watch long rates. On the verge of breaking out of near-term range. If successful, watch 10 year head towards 3%…the highs going back to 2014.

Sentiment and complacency remain at extreme levels while major indices are at extreme extended levels. Just saying! Also, just saying…we will get a correction eventually. No really.

PRE MARKET-EARNINGS ROULETTE

Tons of jello moving on the plate this morning. In no particular order but of course, we start with Apple.

Apple (AAPL) beat estimates in a quarter before a big roll out. At the open, AAPL will be gapping out of a 12 week sloppy base. This is the 2nd strong gap in 6 months. The one in January worked well. We have been told a second big gap to the upside within a year is a “be careful” sign. We’ll let the market decide.

Because of Apple, NDX futures up over .5%. Interestingly, S&P futures basically flat. DOW futures up but that’s on Apple. Apple suppliers like CRUS, QRVO, SWKS and others are up.

ILMN gaps up to a high…up $19.

Other gaps to the upside:

ALL, GRMN, CRTO, HUM, PZZA.

On the downside…WOW!

COHR down $35 off the highs…ULTI down $29 off the highs. MTSI down $13…leading SEMI off the highs…PXD down $14…

Smaller but decent sized gaps to the downside: BGFV, HLF, FISV, AN, RIO, SSTK, FARO, RMD, MRCY, VMC, RACE, CAH, DLPH.

Enjoy! Earnings roulette continues.